The association between risk scores and clinical outcome in acute coronary syndrome patients




Shereen Farag, Departamento de Cardiología, Facultad de Medicina, Benha University, Benha, Egipto
Shaimaa Mostafa, Departamento de Cardiología, Facultad de Medicina, Benha University, Benha, Egipto
Khaled El-Rabbat, Departamento de Cardiología, Facultad de Medicina, Benha University, Benha, Egipto
Ahmed Abd El-Aziz, Departamento de Cardiología, Facultad de Medicina, Benha University, Benha, Egipto


Introduction: Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and its complication are one of the major health problems worldwide. Numerous clinical risk scores have been used to stratify ACS patients. Objective: to evaluate the relationship between risk scores (TIMI, PURSUIT, and GRACE) and short-term outcomes in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. Method: the study enrolled 500 patients with ACS. Risk scores were evaluated at admission and correlated with outcomes during in-hospital admission and three months following discharge. Results: the study included 500 patients with ACS, mean age was 57.4 ± 11.8 years. The mean TIMI, GRACE, and PURSUIT score was 2.7 ± 1.9, 138.8 ± 39.6, and 10.9 ± 4.9, respectively. Higher TIMI, GRACE, and PURSUIT scores were associated with higher in-hospital and short-term morbidity and mortality. PURSUIT score was the most significant predictor among the three scores for the incidence of in-hospital heart failure using a cut-off value > 15.5 with a sensitivity of 82.2% and specificity of 96.9%. At the same time, the GRACE score was the most accurate predictor of recurrent ischemia and heart failure during three months of follow-up, using cut-off values > 117.5 and > 118.5, with a sensitivity 100%, 100% and specificity of 64%, 62.2%, respectively. Conclusion: risk scores are straightforward, bedside-applicable, and capable of predicting adverse outcomes during hospitalization and three months after.



Keywords: Acute coronary syndrome. TIMI score. GRACE score. PURSUIT score.